Some sad stats
Posted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 9:59 am
From another board. looks like Mike needs to find another hitting coach. Looks very doubtful we host, unless we go on a tear the rest of the season. Here's the way the SEC looks combined.
SC- 11-4
Fla- 11-4
A&M- 10-5
LSU- 9-6
Kentucky- 9-6
Vandy- 9-6
State- 8-7
Bama 8-7
OM- 7-8
Georgia 6-9
Auburn 5-10
Mizzou 4-11
Tenn 4-11
UPig 4-11
Compared the individual batting averages for last year (2015) with this year (2016), although this year's averages will obviously change with close to 1/2 the season to go. It revealed some interesting facts, pointing more to the likelihood of a problem with a coached "team approach" at the plate, and not just an "individual slump" this year by a couple or three players. Ordinarily, you see the batting average of most of the players improve with experience from year to year. However, that's not the case with the majority of the players on the team this year which leads to conclude that something has changed from last year, as a team approach at the plate, and it has produced negative results. Your mileage may vary, but it's hard to believe that 6 out of 9 players with an additional year of experience are all having a slump at the same time.
Of course some of the players can get hot as we get further into the SEC schedule and improve their ba (although less likely in league play), but right now only 3 out of the 9 players listed below have improved their batting average over last year. This is what it looks like now according to the Ole MIss Sports data, listing the best batting averages from last year in descending order in the 2015 column, compared to the player's batting average this year:
Player 2015 2016 Improved?
C. Cloyd .369 .259 No
E. Robinson .297 .242 No
W. Golsan .290 .266 No
C. Bortles .281 .269 No
J.B. Woodman .274 .304 Yes
C. Dishon .251 .203 No
K. Watson .241 .211 No
H. Lartigue .225 .343 Yes
T. Blackman .197 .325 Yes
However, it was difficult to conclude much from the long-term historical team batting averages. But, two things jump out. First, from 2004-2009, our batting average was above .300, except for .295 in 2008. Second, since 2009 we have not batted over .300 as a team, and only threatened that level twice (2012 and 2014) after 2009. So, 2009 does seem to be a turning point of sorts. But, it's hard to determine any real trend because the dynamics of the bats and the ball have changed over the years, affecting the batting averages. This is what that data looks like:
Year Team Batting Average
2001 .300
2002 .318
2003 .284
2004 .296
2005 .321
2006 .309
2007 .308
2008 .295
2009 .310
2010 .289
2011 .282
2012 .296
2013 .277
2014 .297
2015 .265
2016 .270 (current)
SC- 11-4
Fla- 11-4
A&M- 10-5
LSU- 9-6
Kentucky- 9-6
Vandy- 9-6
State- 8-7
Bama 8-7
OM- 7-8
Georgia 6-9
Auburn 5-10
Mizzou 4-11
Tenn 4-11
UPig 4-11
Compared the individual batting averages for last year (2015) with this year (2016), although this year's averages will obviously change with close to 1/2 the season to go. It revealed some interesting facts, pointing more to the likelihood of a problem with a coached "team approach" at the plate, and not just an "individual slump" this year by a couple or three players. Ordinarily, you see the batting average of most of the players improve with experience from year to year. However, that's not the case with the majority of the players on the team this year which leads to conclude that something has changed from last year, as a team approach at the plate, and it has produced negative results. Your mileage may vary, but it's hard to believe that 6 out of 9 players with an additional year of experience are all having a slump at the same time.
Of course some of the players can get hot as we get further into the SEC schedule and improve their ba (although less likely in league play), but right now only 3 out of the 9 players listed below have improved their batting average over last year. This is what it looks like now according to the Ole MIss Sports data, listing the best batting averages from last year in descending order in the 2015 column, compared to the player's batting average this year:
Player 2015 2016 Improved?
C. Cloyd .369 .259 No
E. Robinson .297 .242 No
W. Golsan .290 .266 No
C. Bortles .281 .269 No
J.B. Woodman .274 .304 Yes
C. Dishon .251 .203 No
K. Watson .241 .211 No
H. Lartigue .225 .343 Yes
T. Blackman .197 .325 Yes
However, it was difficult to conclude much from the long-term historical team batting averages. But, two things jump out. First, from 2004-2009, our batting average was above .300, except for .295 in 2008. Second, since 2009 we have not batted over .300 as a team, and only threatened that level twice (2012 and 2014) after 2009. So, 2009 does seem to be a turning point of sorts. But, it's hard to determine any real trend because the dynamics of the bats and the ball have changed over the years, affecting the batting averages. This is what that data looks like:
Year Team Batting Average
2001 .300
2002 .318
2003 .284
2004 .296
2005 .321
2006 .309
2007 .308
2008 .295
2009 .310
2010 .289
2011 .282
2012 .296
2013 .277
2014 .297
2015 .265
2016 .270 (current)